It's showtime. The moment of truth.
In just one day, we have 251 subscribers from insurance companies. That's all I need to validate the Indiana data.
First, please read this article so you know why this is so important.
Now, I need you all to do just one thing for me.
»» Fill out this form as best you can. «««
You can view it now to see what info is being requested.
You are about to make history.
I’ll publish the results minus your identity.
Update 1/3/22: 2pm
OK, 322 subscribers all from insurance companies. 622 view of this article. Yet nobody has made any entries in the form.
Please clue me in in the comments about why that is…
Steve, I'm not an insurance company employee. I'm an electrical engineer, like you. I'm copying (below) a post I just made on your Newsletter Substack because I want to increase the odds you see it. I think it is important information that you appear to be missing based upon your statements regarding the news about the 40% increase in ACEM. If I'm wrong, please accept my apology - but I want to make sure your engagement with the insurance related data has the full picture. Below is my post repeated:
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Steve, you are missing some critical pieces of data and therefore your picture on this is not completely accurate. I will try to succinctly explain and provide links to the CDC data.
The website below (USMortality.com) provides a graphing interface to CDC data. On that page, at the top, "All-Cause Excess Mortality", select "FILTER" and filter to shown only age 25-44. This age group reveals the issue I want to raise with you: The All-Cause Excess Mortality (ACEM) in this group started in March 2020 right after the pandemic started. The chart will reveal that ACEM was ~30% over baseline from March 2020 until July 2021 when the vaccines were deployed to that age group. At that point the ACEM jumps to 80% over baseline. The jump to 80% over baseline is a prime candidate to attribute to the vaccines, but I think it is essential to understand the cause behind the 30% ACEM for the 15 prior months. The ACEM CANNOT be explained by COVID, which is only 33% of the total ACEM!
https://www.usmortality.com/excess-percent
I believe what I'm explaining holds true for all of the age groups, but is most pronounced in the 25-44 group. Even more so in the 35-44 group, so I'll constrain my analysis to that for now. CDC data [links provided below] shows that in this age group, in the 4 years from 2016-2019, the total deaths went from 78k to 83k - an average increase of 1.25k deaths per year. In 2020 it went to 104.5k, an increase of 21.5k in one year. COVID deaths in that age group in 2020 were < 7k. Influenza and pneumonia deaths were 3k. Therefore, non-COVID ACEM was 2X the COVID deaths! We had 7k COVID deaths and 14.5k NON-COVID deaths above baseline.
While the likely vaccine-caused deaths are the most important - and a larger number, proper analysis demands this increase in ACEM be addressed. It probably should be subtracted from the ACEM during the vaccination roll-out period, and we need to make sure that what caused the pre-roll-out ACEM is not causing the post-roll-out ACEM.
These links provide the CDC data in PDF for death by year and by age. Use the third page of the PDF:
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/databriefs/db427-tables.pdf#3
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/databriefs/db395-tables-508.pdf#page=3
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/databriefs/db355_tables-508.pdf#page=3
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/databriefs/db328_tables-508.pdf#3
On this page, see "Comorbidities and other conditions" (Table 3), where you can see a breakdown of Cause of Death by age group and this can be viewed by month or year. The data can also be downloaded for analysis in your favorite software tools.
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid_weekly/index.htm
For Suicide I found this CDC page:
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/products/databriefs/db427.htm
Find "What are the death rates for the 10 leading causes of death?"
The CDC claims: "Suicide dropped from the list of 10 leading causes in 2020. Causes of death are ranked according to number of deaths (1). The 10 leading causes accounted for 74.1% of all deaths in the United States in 2020." (So we can rule out suicide as the cause of the excess).
The ACEM seems to be well spread out over the list of diseases - but perhaps deeper analysis will show a particular cause. This might be evidence supporting epidemiologists claiming the lockdowns do more harm than good. We know routine screening & treatment for disease has been impacted and that can be a possible cause. At least, this is likely evidence that the lockdowns & measures forced upon us are not saving lives! More are being lost due to the measures than are being lost to COVID.
I'm not insurance directly but a PEO. When employees die, they have to be "terminated" in the system and final wages and benefits paid. Lots of rules and regulations around this, so data has to be accurate. After reading your article, I just had to see if the data played out. Sure enough, there has been a steady increase in the "termination because of death" count with a dramatic difference between Q1 '19 vs Q1 '21.